Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.7%). Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Staal 55.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 65.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Lindholm
Staal
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Lindholm
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
3
Lindholm
Staal
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
56.3% (1,115)
+1.4%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
61.2% (67)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
52.1% (292)
-3.5%
On power play, Staal has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
55.7% (760)
58.3% (705)
Away
55.8% (778)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
53.7%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
58.2%
P3
55.1%
54.1%
OT
59.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |