Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.5%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Staal 54.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 87.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Lindholm
Staal
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
3
Lindholm
Staal
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
2
Lindholm
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
57.0% (1,017)
-2.1%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
57.7% (26)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
45.1% (286)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
54.4% (688)
54.3% (667)
Away
56.1% (686)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
57.2%
56.2%
P2
54.3%
57.0%
P3
54.2%
49.7%
OT
54.5%
68.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |