Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Norris 51.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Lindholm
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Norris
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Lindholm
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
51.2% (886)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
59.0% (83)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
38.8% (67)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Norris
Home
52.3% (771)
55.6% (487)
Away
53.5% (821)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Lindholm
Norris
P1
50.7%
54.8%
P2
55.3%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
48.0%
OT
29.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |