Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Norris 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 81.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 82.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 71.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Lindholm
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lindholm
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
50.0% (356)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
48.7% (76)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
42.9% (7)
+6.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Norris
Home
55.8% (541)
47.2% (193)
Away
54.7% (428)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Lindholm
Norris
P1
54.8%
53.8%
P2
55.7%
48.2%
P3
55.6%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |