Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Norris 53.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 60.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lindholm
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Lindholm
Norris
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
2
Lindholm
Norris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
6
Lindholm
Norris
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
53.6% (560)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
56.0% (109)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
53.1% (98)
-3.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Norris
Home
54.4% (688)
53.6% (373)
Away
56.1% (686)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Lindholm
Norris
P1
57.2%
61.8%
P2
54.3%
51.7%
P3
54.2%
49.8%
OT
54.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | OT | 04:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |