Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Norris 52.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 40-38 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lindholm
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
40
(78 meetings)
38
40
Lindholm
Norris
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
15
13
Lindholm
Norris
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
13
7
Lindholm
Norris
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
10
20
Lindholm
Norris
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
52.5% (3,057)
+1.3%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
53.7% (404)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
45.4% (240)
+2.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Norris
Home
54.1% (5,943)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Lindholm
Norris
P1
54.1%
55.6%
P2
54.5%
51.4%
P3
53.0%
50.1%
OT
53.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OT | 04:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |