Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs McTavish 50.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Lindholm
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lindholm
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Lindholm
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
48.7% (532)
+4.8%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
59.1% (88)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
33.3% (6)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. McTavish is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McTavish
Home
55.5% (431)
54.8% (303)
Away
52.7% (298)
45.5% (323)
By Period
Lindholm
McTavish
P1
52.3%
51.5%
P2
54.8%
49.5%
P3
56.3%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |