Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs McTavish 43.3% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 81.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Lindholm
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lindholm
McTavish
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
McTavish
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
42.4% (675)
+15.3%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
40.5% (42)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
50.0% (8)
-1.4%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McTavish
Home
55.7% (760)
41.9% (372)
Away
55.8% (778)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Lindholm
McTavish
P1
53.7%
47.2%
P2
58.3%
36.2%
P3
55.1%
43.6%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |