Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs McTavish 49.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 63.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Lindholm
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lindholm
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Lindholm
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
47.6% (616)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
57.8% (102)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
33.3% (6)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McTavish
Home
55.8% (541)
52.2% (389)
Away
54.7% (428)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Lindholm
McTavish
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
47.9%
P3
55.6%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |