Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs McTavish 51.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 65.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Lindholm
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lindholm
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.3% (725)
+6.0%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
55.8% (113)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
28.6% (7)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. McTavish is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McTavish
Home
55.2% (667)
52.0% (454)
Away
57.5% (669)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Lindholm
McTavish
P1
54.7%
51.3%
P2
55.5%
50.4%
P3
58.5%
53.3%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |