Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Frost 55.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 63.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
Frost
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
54.9% (701)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
60.8% (166)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
100.0% (5)
-50.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
55.8% (541)
56.0% (443)
Away
54.7% (428)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
54.8%
58.9%
P2
55.7%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |