Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Frost 51.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Lindholm
Frost
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Lindholm
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
3
Lindholm
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
50.3% (825)
+4.6%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
54.9% (204)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
50.0% (4)
-0.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
54.4% (688)
50.7% (489)
Away
56.1% (686)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
57.2%
53.6%
P2
54.3%
47.8%
P3
54.2%
52.0%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |