Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Frost 49.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 95.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 78.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lindholm
Frost
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
1
Lindholm
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
48.6% (704)
+8.7%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
55.7% (115)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
25.0% (4)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
55.2% (667)
49.9% (399)
Away
57.5% (669)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
54.7%
51.2%
P2
55.5%
53.9%
P3
58.5%
42.7%
OT
64.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |