Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Frost 50.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 27-14 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 76.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 93.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 82.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
14
(41 meetings)
27
14
Lindholm
Frost
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
6
Lindholm
Frost
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
5
Lindholm
Frost
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
3
Lindholm
Frost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
49.4% (3,598)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
55.5% (625)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
52.8% (36)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
54.1% (5,943)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
54.1%
50.8%
P2
54.5%
51.1%
P3
53.0%
48.5%
OT
53.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |