Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Frost 46.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 93.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 82.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Lindholm
Frost
Last 10: Lindholm 9-1 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
1
Lindholm
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
45.6% (833)
+12.1%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
46.0% (100)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
55.6% (18)
-7.0%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
55.7% (760)
47.0% (440)
Away
55.8% (778)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
53.7%
42.5%
P2
58.3%
47.9%
P3
55.1%
46.6%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |