Elias Lindholm vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 83.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 87.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Last 9: Lindholm 6-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Lindholm
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
44.7% (1,053)
+13.0%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
36.8% (95)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
65.0% (20)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Home
55.7% (760)
49.4% (553)
Away
55.8% (778)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Lindholm
MacKinnon
P1
53.7%
45.3%
P2
58.3%
42.7%
P3
55.1%
45.1%
OT
59.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |