Elias Lindholm vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 47-25 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 90.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 95.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 94.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
25
(72 meetings)
47
25
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
18
11
Lindholm
MacKinnon
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
13
7
Lindholm
MacKinnon
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
16
7
Lindholm
MacKinnon
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
46.1% (11,218)
+7.7%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
53.3% (1,412)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
42.8% (502)
+5.3%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Lindholm shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Home
54.1% (5,943)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Lindholm
MacKinnon
P1
54.1%
47.4%
P2
54.5%
46.6%
P3
53.0%
46.1%
OT
53.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |