Elias Lindholm vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 73.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
2
Lindholm
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Lindholm
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
45.5% (1,190)
+11.8%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
56.4% (94)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
40.0% (30)
+9.1%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Home
55.2% (667)
47.8% (670)
Away
57.5% (669)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Lindholm
MacKinnon
P1
54.7%
45.3%
P2
55.5%
48.5%
P3
58.5%
45.0%
OT
64.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |