Elias Lindholm vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 67.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 75.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Last 8: Lindholm 5-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Lindholm
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
49.2% (1,266)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
54.9% (193)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
49.1% (55)
+0.3%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Home
54.4% (688)
50.9% (740)
Away
56.1% (686)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Lindholm
MacKinnon
P1
57.2%
50.9%
P2
54.3%
51.8%
P3
54.2%
47.1%
OT
54.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |