Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs McLeod 47.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 91.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 61.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 73.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
0
Lindholm
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Lindholm
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
49.2% (796)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
44.8% (87)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
43.3% (263)
+6.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
55.8% (541)
49.2% (575)
Away
54.7% (428)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
54.8%
52.8%
P2
55.7%
45.1%
P3
55.6%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |