Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 91.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 51.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 70.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
3
Lindholm
McLeod
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Lindholm
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
52.9% (904)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
57.6% (59)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
49.0% (241)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
54.4% (688)
51.8% (612)
Away
56.1% (686)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
57.2%
55.4%
P2
54.3%
50.8%
P3
54.2%
51.6%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | OT | 02:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |