Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs McLeod 48.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 54.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 8: Lindholm 4-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Lindholm
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
49.0% (500)
+8.7%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
43.8% (48)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
44.0% (50)
+4.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
55.7% (760)
50.9% (291)
Away
55.8% (778)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
53.7%
44.3%
P2
58.3%
52.4%
P3
55.1%
47.8%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |