Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 25 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs McLeod 49.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 33-19 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 93.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 75.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 86.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
19
(52 meetings)
33
19
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
19
6
Lindholm
McLeod
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
8
Lindholm
McLeod
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Lindholm
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
50.4% (3,345)
+3.4%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
51.0% (292)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
44.3% (635)
+3.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
54.1% (5,943)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
54.1%
50.8%
P2
54.5%
48.4%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
OT
53.6%
37.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |