Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs McLeod 50.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 56.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 57.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Lindholm
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lindholm
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.3% (628)
+6.0%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
68.3% (41)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
30.6% (49)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
55.2% (667)
51.5% (394)
Away
57.5% (669)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
54.7%
51.5%
P2
55.5%
47.0%
P3
58.5%
54.3%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |