Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 88.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 58.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 77.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lindholm
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Lindholm
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
49.2% (307)
+8.5%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
66.7% (6)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
48.2% (56)
+0.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
55.7% (760)
50.3% (175)
Away
55.8% (778)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
53.7%
41.0%
P2
58.3%
51.2%
P3
55.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |