Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Carrick 53.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 79.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Carrick
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
3
Lindholm
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
53.8% (654)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
0.0% (2)
+60.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
63.9% (36)
-14.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
54.4% (688)
50.0% (328)
Away
56.1% (686)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
57.2%
56.7%
P2
54.3%
51.1%
P3
54.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |