Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Carrick 52.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 93.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 63.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Lindholm
Carrick
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
1
Lindholm
Carrick
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
5
6
Lindholm
Carrick
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
52.1% (2,513)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
61.3% (75)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
50.7% (430)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
54.1% (5,943)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
54.1%
51.8%
P2
54.5%
52.2%
P3
53.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |