Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Carrick 53.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lindholm
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Lindholm
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
55.1% (439)
-0.7%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
66.7% (3)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
49.1% (53)
+0.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
55.8% (541)
58.2% (225)
Away
54.7% (428)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
54.8%
56.7%
P2
55.7%
52.8%
P3
55.6%
54.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |