Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 70.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Lindholm
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
53.2% (823)
+1.2%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
55.3% (159)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
48.4% (95)
+1.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
55.8% (541)
54.6% (529)
Away
54.7% (428)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
54.8%
49.0%
P2
55.7%
55.4%
P3
55.6%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |