Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 58.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
5
Lindholm
Monahan
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
3
Lindholm
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
52.4% (853)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
58.6% (174)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
46.5% (144)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
54.4% (688)
53.4% (624)
Away
56.1% (686)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
57.2%
53.7%
P2
54.3%
52.4%
P3
54.2%
51.6%
OT
54.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |