Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.1%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 58.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 6: Lindholm 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Lindholm
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
54.5% (231)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
58.2% (67)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
52.2% (23)
-3.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
55.7% (760)
53.5% (144)
Away
55.8% (778)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
53.7%
52.5%
P2
58.3%
50.9%
P3
55.1%
60.8%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |