Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 52.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
10
Lindholm
Monahan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
5
Lindholm
Monahan
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Lindholm
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
57.1% (871)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
53.1% (262)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
44.6% (139)
+4.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
55.2% (667)
55.3% (644)
Away
57.5% (669)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
54.7%
53.9%
P2
55.5%
55.3%
P3
58.5%
54.4%
OT
64.7%
76.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |