Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 32 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Monahan 51.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 46-39 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 59.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
46
(85 meetings)
39
46
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
23
Lindholm
Monahan
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
23
16
Lindholm
Monahan
39 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Lindholm
Monahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
51.1% (11,356)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
53.7% (2,580)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
46.0% (766)
+2.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
54.1% (5,943)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
54.1%
50.9%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
51.0%
OT
53.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |