Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 54.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 59.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 57.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Pettersson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pettersson
Reinhart
Last 5: Pettersson 3-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Pettersson
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
48.0% (275)
-4.1%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
48.1% (52)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
53.1% (32)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Reinhart
Home
45.5% (290)
49.8% (201)
Away
42.4% (250)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Pettersson
Reinhart
P1
40.2%
54.8%
P2
43.9%
40.5%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |