Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 73.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 54.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 72.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Pettersson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pettersson
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
49.4% (259)
-5.3%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
54.4% (136)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
47.9% (71)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Reinhart
Home
45.0% (489)
54.9% (235)
Away
43.7% (508)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Pettersson
Reinhart
P1
46.0%
52.3%
P2
45.7%
50.0%
P3
42.2%
50.0%
OT
23.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |