Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 55.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Pettersson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
44.6% (345)
+5.8%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
43.3% (97)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
43.2% (88)
-2.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Reinhart
Home
50.7% (420)
47.9% (267)
Away
50.9% (379)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Pettersson
Reinhart
P1
48.0%
45.6%
P2
47.6%
42.0%
P3
57.5%
45.4%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |