Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 64.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 57.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Pettersson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
44.1% (324)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
40.3% (72)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
33.9% (118)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Reinhart
Home
48.1% (489)
40.5% (232)
Away
46.9% (475)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Pettersson
Reinhart
P1
47.4%
46.4%
P2
48.3%
32.6%
P3
46.6%
45.4%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |