Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 53.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Haula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Haula
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
56.1% (955)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
66.9% (142)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
43.0% (242)
+1.1%
On power play, Staal has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Haula
Staal
Home
48.6% (426)
55.4% (663)
Away
51.6% (411)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Haula
Staal
P1
52.2%
55.1%
P2
51.5%
54.7%
P3
46.7%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |