Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Staal 54.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 59.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Haula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Haula
Staal
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Haula
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
57.0% (1,017)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
57.7% (26)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
45.1% (286)
+2.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Haula
Staal
Home
54.2% (345)
54.3% (667)
Away
51.1% (374)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Haula
Staal
P1
55.8%
56.2%
P2
48.0%
57.0%
P3
54.1%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |