Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 54.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Haula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Haula
Staal
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Haula
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
6
Haula
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Haula
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
56.3% (1,115)
-1.8%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
61.2% (67)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
52.1% (292)
-6.7%
On power play, Haula has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Haula
Staal
Home
55.4% (520)
58.3% (705)
Away
53.1% (537)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Haula
Staal
P1
56.5%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
58.2%
P3
53.8%
54.1%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | OT | 04:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |