Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Staal 57.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Haula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Haula
Staal
Last 8: Haula 6-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
58.9% (1,096)
-1.3%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
68.4% (57)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
51.8% (222)
-6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Haula
Staal
Home
56.3% (449)
57.0% (646)
Away
53.3% (443)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Haula
Staal
P1
58.4%
55.9%
P2
54.9%
55.4%
P3
52.0%
62.0%
OT
0.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Erik Haula |