Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 47-32 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 66.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 68.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 66.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Haula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
47
(79 meetings)
32
47
Haula
Staal
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
12
Haula
Staal
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
16
Haula
Staal
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
13
19
Haula
Staal
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
55.9% (14,620)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
62.7% (1,745)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
48.0% (2,896)
-4.5%
On power play, Staal has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Haula
Staal
Home
53.4% (4,478)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Haula
Staal
P1
53.2%
55.2%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
52.7%
54.9%
OT
43.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |