Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Hayes 42.7% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 61.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
31.9% (91)
+18.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
64.3% (14)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
0.0% (1)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
48.6% (426)
30.6% (49)
Away
51.6% (411)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
52.2%
22.9%
P2
51.5%
40.0%
P3
46.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |