Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.6% vs Hayes 44.1% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 51.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 61.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (516)
33.3% (81)
+16.9%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
64.3% (14)
-7.4%
On even strength, Haula has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
49.8% (321)
30.6% (49)
Away
51.7% (292)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
51.8%
24.2%
P2
50.5%
43.8%
P3
49.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |