Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Hayes 47.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 79.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 86.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 83.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Haula
Hayes
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Haula
Hayes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
10
7
Haula
Hayes
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
6
2
Haula
Hayes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
47.5% (6,708)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
51.7% (702)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
45.3% (697)
-1.8%
On power play, Haula has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
53.4% (4,478)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
53.2%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
47.6%
P3
52.7%
47.9%
OT
43.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |