Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Hayes 49.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 75.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 92.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 72.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Haula
Hayes
Last 9: Haula 7-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Haula
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
0
Haula
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
48.5% (557)
+6.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
53.3% (107)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
58.3% (12)
-12.9%
On power play, Haula has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
55.4% (520)
50.8% (313)
Away
53.1% (537)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
56.5%
52.3%
P2
53.3%
47.7%
P3
53.8%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |