Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Hayes 56.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Haula
Hayes
Last 10: Haula 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Haula
Hayes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
56.6% (724)
+1.0%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
57.0% (79)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
65.7% (35)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
56.3% (449)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.3% (443)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
58.4%
54.7%
P2
54.9%
55.7%
P3
52.0%
60.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Erik Haula |