Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Hayes 51.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
51.6% (386)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
53.2% (47)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
60.0% (20)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
54.2% (345)
50.5% (200)
Away
51.1% (374)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
55.8%
58.8%
P2
48.0%
49.3%
P3
54.1%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Erik Haula |