Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.9% vs Duchene 57.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 63.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Haula
Duchene
Last 6: Haula 4-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Haula
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (705)
56.5% (527)
-2.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
61.6% (185)
-47.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (69)
59.3% (27)
-8.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
49.4% (397)
57.6% (403)
Away
57.3% (384)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
51.5%
61.4%
P2
52.7%
58.5%
P3
56.3%
54.9%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |