Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Duchene 51.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 59.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
51.2% (324)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
60.4% (53)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
16.7% (6)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
48.6% (426)
51.6% (182)
Away
51.6% (411)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
52.2%
49.6%
P2
51.5%
56.2%
P3
46.7%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Erik Haula |