Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Duchene 55.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 58.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Haula
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
56.5% (566)
+1.1%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
61.3% (62)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
22.2% (9)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
56.3% (449)
56.6% (318)
Away
53.3% (443)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
58.4%
57.2%
P2
54.9%
55.1%
P3
52.0%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Erik Haula |